040114_YKBP_A_ 3.pdf
Broadcaster Press 03
April 1, 2014 www.broadcasteronline.com
Forum: Crimea destined to
become part of Russia
1100
Personals Messages
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By Travis Gulbrandson
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Is there anything that
can be done to prevent
Crimea’s annexation by
Russia? One USD
professor says no.
“Crimea is going to
become a part of Russia,”
Dr. David Burrow,
professor of Russian
history, said bluntly at an
International Forum held
in Farber Hall on the
USD campus Monday
afternoon.
That same day, interim
Ukrainian President
Oleksandr Turchynov
ordered the withdrawal of
armed forces from
Crimea over Russian
threats to military staff
and their families.
Russian President
Vladimir Putin has
justified his country’s
actions with appeals to
history and saying
Crimea has always been a
part of Russia, Burrow
said.
“In Putin’s view, what
makes this even more
challenging is, one, how
do you dispute and how
do you reach
international agreement
with someone that
doesn’t accept the same
facts that you do?”
Burrow said. “The
Russian rhetoric about
this has been that
Ukrainians are fascists,
and that they are
threatening ethnic
Russians. There’s zero
evidence for this, but this
is what Putin says.
“In theory, Putin has
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announced that Russia
will intervene to protect
ethnic Russians wherever
they live,” Burrow said.
The current
population of Crimea is
58 percent Russian and
24 percent Ukrainian,
while Ukraine’s
population as a whole is
78 percent Ukrainian and
17 percent Russian.
“The question seems
to be now whether Putin
will use that 17 percent
population … to justify
further intervention,”
Burrow said. “No one
knows whether he will or
not. He said that he will
not, but I wouldn’t
necessarily believe that.”
Forum moderator Dr.
Benno Wymar named
Estonia and Latvia as two
countries that have
Russians accounting for
more than a quarter of
their respective
populations, a statistic he
said causes worry over
possible Russian invasion.
Professor emeritus Dr.
Don Pryce pointed out
that in taking over
Crimea, Russia has taken
a “money-loser” that cost
Ukraine approximately
$400 million a year to
subsidize.
Pryce said Putin
wanted Crimea so he
could start a customs
union that can be kept
going with large
subsidies.
“Ukraine is desperately
poor in many ways,”
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Dr. Don Pryce (left) and Dr. David Burrow discuss the future of Ukraine during Monday’s forum consin Evangelical Lutheran
Synod: Worship Sunday 6:00
held in Farber Hall on the USD campus.
(Photo by David Lias) p.m., Bible Study Tuesday,
Pryce said. “Crimea is
poor. Where do the
Russians have to go? We
think of Putin as being
powerful. In effect, Putin
is a cornered rat because
NATO has been growing
on his western borders,
and if his actions do
anything, (they) give
NATO a renewed sense of
purpose.
“If his actions do
anything, they push
Ukraine more in the
direction of the West. If
Russia is to make gains, it
will make gains at the
expense of poorer areas,”
Pryce said.
Unlike the European
Union, which started at
the close of World War II,
Pryce said Putin’s
customs union is not
based upon shared
prosperity.
“Putin’s proposed
Eurasian customs union
grows out of sheer
poverty. The Russian
economy has not been
able to progress,” he said.
In effect, the move has
isolated Russia from the
rest of the world.
“In a way, I think
(Putin) wants to,” Pryce
said. “It gives him a sense
of purpose, makes him a
crusader.”
Pryce said Putin may
end up trying to annex
more land to create a
corridor, and thus give
Russia better access to
Crimea.
“There is no way to get
to Crimea from Russia,
except by sea,” Pryce said.
“There’s no direct land
connection at all. To
build a bridge … would
cost between $3 and $5
billion, and it would take
several years.”
Ukraine has been
under Russian control
before, most recently
after World War II. The
country became
independent in 1991
when the Soviet Union
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“You got the
impression that he felt as
though he was orphaned
(by the dissolution), and
indeed, the challenge for
Russia and Ukraine is to
redefine what they mean
as societies, as states, as
cultures, and how they
relate to the rest of the
world geographically,
strategically and
culturally,” Pryce said.
“They’re in this process
of seeking a new national
identity.”
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